Smartphones dominating global mobile connections base - 2020 regional device adoption forecasts and assumptions
This report is available to those subscribed to the Mobile Operators and Networks module.
Latest research from GSMA Intelligence shows that smartphone adoption globally reached 45% of total connections (excluding M2M) in Q4 2015. Adoption of basic and feature phones continues to decline, falling to 42% during the same quarter. The remaining 13% of connections were data terminals. This compares to five years ago, when less than 10% of connections were smartphones. Some 2.9 billion smartphone connections have been added since 2010 and another 2.5 billion are expected over the coming five years.
In this report we look at how smartphone adoption is growing fast in developing markets and reached 40% in Q4 2015. While adoption in the developed world is higher at 65%, the trend is a slowdown as adoption reaches a ceiling in terms of addressable market. The report highlights the huge growth potential in India, which is set to become the second largest smartphone market, overtaking the US. The analysis also shows how uptake of data terminals is linked to smartphone market maturity, and examines the role of tablets in vendor plans and operator business models.
Related research
Digital consumer: five trends to watch in 2026
How will the industry evolve in 2026? This series of reports highlights the key trends to watch and the implications for ecosystem players. This report examines the digital consumer area.
Apple ‘awe-dropping’ event: raising the bar for consumer experience with five areas of innovation
At its recent ‘awe-dropping’ event, Apple unveiled its new line-up of smartphones, earphones and smartwatches, and showcased its innovation in device features.
IFA 2025: an AI-first show with five other defining themes
Like at most other technology shows today, AI was ubiquitous at IFA 2025 – the European consumer electronics show – and the growing application of advanced AI, including generative AI, was clear to see. There were also notable developments across the smart home, wearables, smartphones, home robots and gaming.
Authors
How to access this report
Annual subscription: Subscribe to our research modules for comprehensive access to more than 200 reports per year.
Enquire about subscriptionContact our research team
Get in touch with us to find out more about our research topics and analysis.
Contact our research teamMedia
To cite our research, please see our citation policy in our Terms of Use, or contact our Media team for more information.
Learn moreRelated research
Digital consumer: five trends to watch in 2026
How will the industry evolve in 2026? This series of reports highlights the key trends to watch and the implications for ecosystem players. This report examines the digital consumer area.
Apple ‘awe-dropping’ event: raising the bar for consumer experience with five areas of innovation
At its recent ‘awe-dropping’ event, Apple unveiled its new line-up of smartphones, earphones and smartwatches, and showcased its innovation in device features.
IFA 2025: an AI-first show with five other defining themes
Like at most other technology shows today, AI was ubiquitous at IFA 2025 – the European consumer electronics show – and the growing application of advanced AI, including generative AI, was clear to see. There were also notable developments across the smart home, wearables, smartphones, home robots and gaming.
- 200 reports a year
- 50 million data points
- Over 350 metrics
