Tag: north america

Analyst warns 5G alone unlikely to yield high rewards

LIVE FROM GSMA MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS AMERICAS 2018: The launch of 5G services will offer limited price upside compared to early 4G launches, GSMA Intelligence research director Pablo Iacopino (pictured) warned, as he urged operators to use the new network technology to offer a wider range of services.

Speaking at the GSMA Intelligence Americas Summit, Iacopino noted 5G was set to launch faster across many markets than the majority of the mooted services expected to drive future revenues.

“Immersive reality [for example] is far from an acceptable user experience,” he said. “The challenge for operators is to monetise 5G from the consumer segment, as faster speed on its own has minimal price uplift.”

He went on to note the increase in consumer prices following the launch of 4G was short-lived, especially in markets where launch prices for 4G were much higher than existing 3G services.

“4G will pay the bills for the next ten years which means 4G will account for the lion’s share of operator revenues,” he added.

The analyst noted operators should avoid selling 5G as a consumer proposition in its own, as it was unlikely to be a compelling offer. Instead, he recommended linking it to other products and services.

Potential technologies Iacopino expects to be supported (and potentially sold alongside 5G) include: IoT, 8K television, immersive reality, artificial intelligence and advanced gaming.

ZDNet: Nearly half of US mobile connections will be on 5G by 2025

The US is poised to lead the world in 5G adoption, according to a new report from the GSMA, a trade association that represents mobile network operators worldwide.

By 2025, 49 percent of all mobile connections in the US are forecast to be running on 5G, according to the Mobile Economy 2018 report. That’s compared to around 41 percent in Canada and 30 percent in Europe and key Asian markets.

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US, Canada to lead global move to 5G

LIVE FROM GSMA MOBILE WORLD CONGRESS AMERICAS 2018: North America will dominate global 5G take-up by 2025, with around 200 million connections in the USA and Canada representing 49 per cent of the region’s projected total mobile market by that point, the GSMA predicted.

A new Mobile Economy report from the Association forecast North America will be significantly ahead of Europe (30 per cent) and key Asian markets including China, Japan and South Korea (30 per cent, aggregate). The 200 million milestone will be double a forecast of 100 million connections expected to be hit in late 2022.

The findings reflect the progress the US, in particular, is making in 5G, with operators AT&T [1] and Verizon [2] expected to launch commercial networks this year, the first in the world. Operators in Canada are tipped to launch 5G in 2020.

Between 2018 and 2020, mobile operators will invest $122 billion in capex in North America, mostly driven by network maintenance and early 5G rollouts which are likely to require densification through small cell deployments, new antennas and transmission upgrades.

The Association also found that the number of unique mobile subscribers in North America exceeded 300 million in 2017, representing 84 per cent of the population and the second-highest subscriber penetration rate globally behind Europe. The subscriber base is forecast to increase to 328 million by 2025, lifting the penetration rate to 86 per cent.

Meanwhile the number of IoT connections in North America is forecast to almost triple between 2018 and 2025, reaching almost 6 billion.

Economic contribution
This growth is also resulting in a strengthened contribution to the region’s economy. By 2022, the mobile industry’s economic contribution is expected to increase 32 per cent to $1.1 trillion, or 4.9 per cent of GDP, up from $833 billion (4 per cent of GDP) in 2017, driven by increased productivity and the ongoing digitisation of industry and services.

North America’s mobile ecosystem also supported nearly 2.4 million jobs in 2017 and was responsible for $114 billion in public sector funding via general taxation (not including funds raised by spectrum auctions).

High subscriber penetration coupled with historically high consumer spend on mobile services means the mobile market in North America generated $260 billion in revenue in 2017. The US is the largest market worldwide in terms of revenue, about 40 per cent greater than China; bigger than the entire European mobile market; and larger than CIS, Latin America, MENA and Sub-Saharan Africa combined.

[1] https://www.mobileworldlive.com/featured-content/home-banner/att-names-cities-and-vendors-as-5g-plan-progresses/
[2] https://www.mobileworldlive.com/featured-content/home-banner/us-players-set-5g-battle-lines-for-mwca-showdown/